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  China and the agony of the sustainable transition

In July 2006, the Chinese government announced a huge environmental cleanup program, an investment over the next five years that will cost roughly US$100 billion--about 1.5 percent of China's gross domestic product. The money is designed to be spent on sewage treatment systems, end-of-pipe controls, tree planting schemes, and river regulation projects. To put this in context, China is experiencing the kind of environmental mess that characterized a rapidly urbanizing United Kingdom in the late eighteenth century and a resource-exploiting United States in the early nineteenth century. More than half of China's rivers are seriously polluted. Widespread soil erosion is impoverishing many villages. This is in turn pushing desperate families into burgeoning cities where apartment buildings are sprouting at amazing rates. Urban poverty is more than matching rural poverty, but still they come.
Two hundred years ago, there was no sustainability science, and there were few regulatory bodies with any clout. In the Western world, the management of the transition to better environmental health was a matter for visionaries, pioneers, and hard-nosed business leaders: William Wordsworth and Ralph Waldo Emerson railed against the unnaturalness of the human condition as it evolved during this period; Edwin Chadwick and Benjamin Franklin brought public health to the urban poor; and John Cadbury and Andrew Carnegie opened up the philanthropic business enterprise.

Today, there is essentially no excuse. The public health consequences of rampant air and water pollution are well documented and unmistakably visible in real pain and suffering amongst all manner of families and workers. The economic costs of the damage being wrought are also much more measurable, as indeed are the likely additional costs if nothing is done.

In many ways, China epitomizes the struggle to introduce sustainable development at a relatively early stage into societies that are nowadays ostensibly more able to recognize the dangers of unrestrained growth. The fascinating article by Xuemei Bai and Peijun Shi beginning on page 22 of this issue succinctly exposes this dilemma. The Huai River basin is an important industrial and agricultural area that is desperately polluted and shows no sign of improvement in the near future. The toxic and organic wastes that industries have dumped into this watershed have led to health effects with demonstrable suffering. The agencies seeking to control all this are underfinanced, entangled in competition with each other, unable to halt the corruption and regulatory weaknesses that plague the delivery of better controls, and insufficiently supported by either local or central government officials. However, it is not just the institutional muddle that is to blame. At the heart of all this is a culture that rewards enterprise, job expansion, and the successes of productive output at the expense of all else. There is still little willingness to come seriously to grips with an old-fashioned growth culture.

At the same time, in a society where opposition to government is still strictly limited, it is heartening to see independent, scientifically literate local groups warning factory managers, river users, and citizens of the dangers of continuing bad practices. Particularly exciting are the courageous citizens' organizations, often led by scientifically literate women, talking to stakeholders in a language of river sustainability that all can understand. The sustainability science of the new China is a fascinating combination of established environmental knowledge, informed local critique, and a visionary exposure to a better way of relating to the rhythms and limits of natural systems.

China is indeed just entering the difficult straits of a journey toward sustainability. At a time when the wave of environmental misery seems to be all engulfing, there is the heartening emergence of citizens' movements at the local level that are beginning to be recognized as beneficial for the public good. Perhaps a form of sustainability democracy may emerge in China in a manner that could be quite revolutionary.

Just as there are huge commitments to carbon capture, clean coal, and eco-settlements on vast scales, so too there may be a grassroots sustainability revolution that has no precedent in the modern Chinese state. If this is the case, China's transition may serve as a lesson for more developed societies, even those that enjoy the freedoms of recognizable democracies--for these are the nations where, more often than not, the voices for a sustainable future remain whispers.


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